Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.895364 1.008623 1.132201 1.277291 1.443280 1.627602 1.848276
2025-01-12 0.713115 0.864461 1.043512 1.271989 1.557245 1.903527 2.358586
2025-01-19 0.590247 0.750014 0.949170 1.217561 1.572682 2.030445 2.671627
2025-01-26 0.531169 0.701871 0.924150 1.237818 1.673894 2.265826 3.142329
2025-02-02 0.486840 0.665244 0.906450 1.260723 1.775068 2.505892 3.643189
2025-02-09 0.446729 0.628608 0.882764 1.269502 1.853100 2.717088 4.123595
2025-02-16 0.412445 0.595870 0.859927 1.274849 1.923485 2.920764 4.613671
2025-02-23 0.388013 0.574559 0.850705 1.297981 2.021042 3.173679 5.210898
2025-03-02 0.353545 0.534724 0.809451 1.266277 2.026687 3.277923 5.569736
2025-03-09 0.336376 0.519777 0.804743 1.291469 2.126316 3.545742 6.243847
2025-03-16 0.313072 0.493011 0.778703 1.278453 2.158949 3.700732 6.731578
2025-03-23 0.296916 0.476341 0.767342 1.288535 2.231630 3.932355 7.390627
2025-03-30 0.276454 0.451338 0.740722 1.270737 2.254458 4.079127 7.912272
2025-04-06 0.259595 0.431144 0.720656 1.262740 2.294513 4.262802 8.535001
2025-04-13 0.236918 0.399207 0.677693 1.208983 2.242130 4.260978 8.767960
2025-04-20 0.227901 0.390445 0.674767 1.229061 2.334121 4.554896 9.679165
2025-04-27 0.219972 0.382970 0.673439 1.251787 2.433254 4.873987 10.693042
2025-05-04 0.210687 0.372319 0.665381 1.260497 2.504331 5.141580 11.627252
2025-05-11 0.201667 0.361490 0.656108 1.265802 2.568497 5.400978 12.580526
2025-05-18 0.195504 0.355560 0.655631 1.288752 2.672506 5.760526 13.837600
2025-05-25 0.183311 0.337310 0.629991 1.257298 2.653880 5.837550 14.382794
2025-06-01 0.178418 0.332846 0.631093 1.282292 2.764101 6.228635 15.819660
2025-06-08 0.169727 0.320347 0.615238 1.269378 2.786015 6.410035 16.714499